Today’s Weather: Tuesday, October 10, 2017

The Summary:   NWS says: Mostly clear, with a low around 66. Northeast wind around 9 mph.  Computer Models say:  12-13 mph NE, with surf 2 ft NNE.  We Say;  The actual wind at Kanaha will be in the mid to high Teens, possibly gusting low to mid 20’s in the afternoon. Winds should be side-onshore, variable and gusty close to shore. Our “Venturi Factor” Today for Kanaha is 4 out of 10. **Our (relative) Gustiness Factor today should be about 35% which is “normal” level.  There is still a 1012 Low-pressure system and trough to our north.  So our underlying trade winds will still be on the lighter side, but should improve slightly over yesterday. Wind will likely be dominated by stronger sea-breezes so winds will still be relatively onshore like yesterday. For our Weather Update Log into our 10:30 am Live Wind Report on our Facebook Page.

Kiteboarding on Maui. Photo Suzie DornKitefoilboarding at Kite Beach Maui. Photo Suzie Dorn.

CAUTION: Always be sure of your abilities, training, and local knowledge before you attempt to kite, sail or surf. If in doubt don't go out!

Wind Forecast – Model Tables:

Weather Map: Global weather patterns affect our local weather. Distant storms produce surf, and massive pressure systems create our winds. We can see these features on the Weather Map. Here is our summary of today’s weather map: There is still a 1012 Low-pressure system and trough to our north.  So our underlying trade winds will still be on the lighter side, but should improve slightly over yesterday. Wind will likely be dominated by stronger sea-breezes so winds will still be relatively onshore like yesterday. ** These predictions are for the generalized (Tradewind) airflow across the state, and local wind effects (rain/venturi/clouds/etc.) need to be considered. Here is today’s weather map. http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/graphics/npac.gif

NWS Current: Here are the Current Conditions and Forecast.

Humidity 84%
Wind Speed NE 6 mph
Barometer 29.92 in (1013.7 mb)
Dewpoint 65°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 10 Oct 5:54 am HST
 
 
 

Maui County Windward Waters:

Maui County Windward Waters-
330 AM HST Mon Oct 9 2017

.TODAY…East winds 10 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less. North
swell 5 feet. Isolated showers through the day.
.TONIGHT…East winds 10 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less then
3 feet after midnight. North swell 4 feet. Isolated showers.
.TUESDAY…East winds 15 knots. Wind waves 3 feet. North swell
3 feet in the morning. Scattered showers.

Maalaea Bay:

Maalaea Bay-
330 AM HST Mon Oct 9 2017

.TODAY…North winds 15 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less.
.TONIGHT…North winds 15 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less.
.TUESDAY…North winds 20 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less.

Please Note: The NWS sometimes gives their Forecast in Knots (kts) and we give ours in Miles Per Hour (mph).
To convert KTS to MPH, multiply the knots by 1.15 Example 30 kts x 1.15 = 34.5 mph.

For a quick reference go to KiteClub’s Wind Chart.

Tides on Maui: In general Tides only vary about 2 feet in range, While this is a small amount it makes a big difference because the water is shallow in many places and the reef can get close to the surface or exposed at low tides. At high tides, beaches become narrow and will have more shore-break. Pay attention to the tide times for a better safer session. For more detailed information about tides go to our Maui Tides Page. Here are today’s Tides below.

Tides at Kahului: 

High Tide 6:13 AM HST 2.33 ft
Sunrise 6:19 AM HST  
Moonset 11:20 AM HST  
Low Tide 12:52 PM HST 1.25 ft
High Tide 4:19 PM HST 1.41 ft
Sunset 6:05 PM HST  
Moonrise 10:47 PM HST  
Low Tide 11:24 PM HST 0.26 ft

Tides in Kihei:

Sunrise 6:19 AM HST  
High Tide 8:05 AM HST 2.14 ft
Moonset 11:20 AM HST  
Low Tide 2:11 PM HST 0.65 ft
Sunset 6:05 PM HST  
High Tide 6:11 PM HST 1.28 ft
Moonrise 10:48 PM HST

Rain Radar: The rain radar is the best way to see if there is bad weather coming especially heavy rains. Rain showers are not only wet, they can cause flooding on land, and rain squalls can cause strong wind gusts. Severe storms may create lightning as well. So it is always prudent to pay attention to the rain radar. Click here for the Current Radar Image (static image of Dopler Radar): 

Wind Yesterday:  Here is yesterday’s wind graph for Kanaha.

 

Changing of the Seasons: Maui has super consistent weather, but we still have seasons here. The Surfing Season is coming and you will notice things changing. Each season has a character a and a rhythm, so be prepared to adjust your approach and technique accordingly. To read more about the different weather by season and by month, Go to our Maui Weather Page..

Oceans are not like Lakes or Rivers: If you are new to ocean sailing then you should get a lesson on Ocean Sailing from one of our Action Sports Maui instructors. There are many common pitfalls and basic survival techniques that you will want to learn before getting yourself into trouble. Talk to Suzie about our “Ocean Rider 101 class”. Read more about ocean safety on our Ocean Safety Page..

Strong Wind Warning: Maui has a lot more strong wind days than most other locations. Many people have not kited in strong winds before. Riding in strong winds requires an adapted technique and specialty equipment. If you came to Maui with only large kite sizes then there is a good chance that your kite will be too big some of the time. Do not go out overpowered, you are taking a risk with your own safety but you put other people at risk as well. So always ask one of our local instructors about you kite size choice if you are in any doubt. Your kite should never be significantly larger than the other kites on the water. Note that most of the local riders will make better-informed choices on right kite size for the local conditions. If necessary you will need to rent a smaller kite And/or get a lesson on riding a smaller kite in strong winds. If you have never ridden a small kite size before, then get a lesson from one of our Instructors. Ask Suzie about our High-Wind 101 Lesson. For an overview of the lessons we offer go to our Lesson Overview Slider Here.
Hurricane Season:  Hurricanes are most likely to occur July through December in Hawaii. Hurricanes bring severe bad weather, flooding rain and potentially devastatingly strong winds. The passing of a Hurricane may last days or up to a week or more. The Hurricanes usually develop far away in the eastern Pacific and we generally get several days or more warning of their approach. So there is usually time to make preparations and even evacuate if necessary. Many Hurricanes come close to Hawaii but are just too far away to have a severe effect, This near-miss scenario, and repeated canceled warnings, can give some people a false sense of security. Until one does hit, and then they may be unprepared. Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Climate Change Maui: There is a lot of confusion about climate change. There are anthropogenic (man-made) factors that affect climate, like greenhouse gases, deforestation, and pollution. This is a worldwide problem but has to be managed locally as well. Reducing our carbon footprint using renewable resources like solar and wind energy, as well as recycling and reusing materials rather than throwing materials away after a single use. Also being mindful of not causing harm to the ecosystem by overusing toxic agricultural chemicals. Also eating less meat (reduces greenhouse gases and deforestation) and would be a major step in slowing Global Warming.  For More Information, including  How climate change affects Maui, Beach Loss, & Coral Reef Destruction and Degradation, Go to Our Climate Change Maui page

CAUTION: Always be sure of your abilities, training, and local knowledge before you attempt to kite, sail or surf. If in doubt don’t go out!  

Maui Factor: Maui is not like other places. Maui is perhaps more extreme than most people are expecting. Always treat Nature and the elements here with respect. Be humble and do not underestimate the weather. Mother Nature is the boss, so do not push your luck no matter how long you have waited to sail or surf here. There are going to be days when you should NOT go out. There will always be conditions too tough even for the biggest expert, never forget that. Maui factor usually also means that you will not be as good as you think you are, the first time you ride here. So start out conservatively and take the time to learn about local conditions. Pay your dues, be respectful, and be prepared to be humbled. With the right attitude and approach, you will better appreciate, adapt to, and ultimately enjoy the uniqueness that Maui has to offer. **Read More Local Information Below at the Bottom of this Page.

KITE SAFE PRO-TIPS:  “BEWARE OF OFFSHORE WIND” 

Offshore wind is inherently dangerous: Never kite in off-shore wind if you have no way to return to shore. For Safety, you always need to be able to drift downwind to a point on land. Offshore winds in a bay:  a small bay that is offshore at the launch, but has another shore with onshore wind, that can be easily reached by downwind body dragging is sometimes acceptable. Never ride in pure offshore winds without a dedicated support boat active on site. Launching in offshore winds is very difficult as winds are usually very gusty. Offshore winds are deceptive; the wind at the shore is usually very different from the wind on the water. People often severely underestimate the wind strength in offshore winds. When you launch/ride in offshore winds there is a greater difficulty returning to the beach afterward. Getting back to the beach may become impossible!  For More Kite Safety Tips Go To Kitesafe.com

Have a plan before you launchHave  Plan Before you Launch: Always consider what will happen when your gear breaks, or you lose your board or kite. What is your plan when gear failure happens? What is your plan when the wind increases/decreases? What is your plan when there is no one to assist you. What is your plan when you get tired/cold/injured?  If you do not have a plan, or if you do not know the answers to these basic questions, then we strongly suggest that you get a lesson from one of our local instructors to give you the skills to become self-sufficient, independent and able to kite responsibly and “autonomously” in the local Maui Conditions.

Monster-Maui-Graphic-copyright-ddorn-2017Do Not be Intimidated By Maui’s Awesome Power: Fear is a function of self-preservation for good reason because it helps to survive. Listen to your inner voice it is trying to keep you alive. If you are not a little bit scared, then you are likely not experienced enough to be aware of the inherent risk. This can be a problem too. Also if you are over-scared you might not be able to resolve situations and scenarios that will eventually come your way. Ask yourself, am I confident that I can handle the worst-case scenario in these conditions? If the answer is No, then you will benefit from some safety/survival training. Instead of staying on the beach or getting in over your head we recommend that you get an Orientation Session, Safety refresher session, or High Wind Sailing lessons with one of our experienced Action Sports Instructors.
BEWARE OF WAVES: 
To avoid accidents, you should Always Beware of Waves. Even a small wave can be very powerful and can turn you upside down, This can lead to serious injury and drowning. Get a lesson before entering the waves, Waves are far different from flat water. Never drop your kite in the breaking waves, and if you do be prepared to let it go. Waves will easily destroy a kite and could hurt you, so invest in a “ride-in-the-waves 101” lesson from one of our experienced, qualified,  IKO Certified Kiteboarding Instructors. For More Kite Safety Tips Go To Kitesafe.com

Shorebreak Warning: Watch out for shore break. There is a high risk of serious injury or death. Especially when the tide is high and the swell is up. There tends to be more shore break. Shore break is waves breaking into the shoreline, and they can be especially dangerous even when they are small. Take care when crossing through the shore break, and do not linger there. Get in and get out quickly, do not lose your footing, and definitely, do not drop your kite in the shore break. For More Infor on ShoreBreaks go to our Shore Break Warning Page.  

Maui Surf ReportMaui Surf Report: The Maui Surf Report has far too much information to fit here so it has its very own page. So if you need the latest surf info, like to learn, or are just curious then please check it out. For more detailed Surf Information go to our Maui Surf Report Page.  

Live Wind Report: Tune into our Daily Weather VLOG on our FaceBook Friend Page at 10:30 am each day. Thanks to our fans and people who regularly watch out VLOG, sometimes we are a little late, and the time of 10:30 may not be exact, so thanks for being patient. Also if you like the VLOG Report, then please let us know and give us a Like on Facebook (Likes are like Hugs!).  We have Moved our Wind Report VLOG to our other Facebook Page, please change your “bookmarks” accordingly, and please take a moment to Like and Follow us on Facebook.

Maui Wind Report: The Maui Wind Report has far too much information to fit here so it has its very own page. So if you need all the detailed Maui Wind Info, like to learn, or are just curious then please check it out. For more detailed wind information go to our Maui Wind Report Page.  

Find Us on Kite Beach: We are at Kitebeach almost every day (10 am – 5 pm), so come look for our Van, and Drop By and Say hello. *Ask us for a copy of the New MKC Guidelines for Kiting on Maui Brochure that includes a map of Maui kite spots. Call in for Lessons Schedule and Information, we are on for lessons, today, and we are getting busy, please call us if you want to schedule a lesson. +1 (808) 283-7913

Loss of Beach Access: A most pressing made-made issue is Loss of Beach Access, where less public ocean access is available. This is due to developers, and public planners failing to protect ocean access points. Developers, shady land swaps, county apathy, politics, and power. This is the biggest immediate threat the ocean users face here on Maui.  Ocean access in Hawaii is being lost all of the time, we all need to stay vigilant and get informed, and speak out against it. And when necessary buy back the beach! If you ignore your ability to access the beach, then it will go away!

For More Information go to Maui Kiteboarding Association Save Kanaha Page or Go directly to the Change.org Save Kanaha Petition

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