Today’s Weather: Wednesday, September 6, 2017

The Summary:  NWS Says: Isolated showers after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Light and variable wind becoming north northeast 9 to 14 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.   Computer Model Tables say; 8 to 11 mph today. Surf expected to be 4 ft NNW.  We Say;  The actual wind at Kanaha will likely be stronger than the forecast, we estimate that it will be averaging the low to mid teens, building to mid-high teens by the afternoon. Our “Venturi Factor” Today for Kanaha is 4 out of 10. **Our Gustiness Factor today should be about 30% which is “normal” level.  The wind should side-onshore and variable today.  

Foilboard Sequence. Photo Suzie Dorn. Location Kanaha Beach Maui.
Foilboard Sequence. Photo Suzie Dorn. Location Kanaha Beach Maui.

Wind Forecast – Model Tables:

 

 

Weather Map: Here is the weather map. The 1019 mb High-pressure system to our east-northeast (ENE) is producing a weak trade-wind airflow. There is a cold front approaching from the north that is messing with our trade flow. The front bisects our northern isobar, and suggests a more southeasterly underlying air-flow than yesterday. Wind direction at Kanaha should be “variable side-onshore” today. It could be cloudy especially towards the interior of the island, and hazy (voggy).
** These predictions are for the generalized (Tradewind) airflow across the state, and local wind effects (rain/venturi/clouds/etc.) need to be considered.http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/graphics/npac.gif

NWS Forecast: Here is the Current Conditions and Forecast.

Humidity 76%
Water Temperature          82.2 °F              
Barometer 29.96 in (1014.9 mb)
Dewpoint 65°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 6 Sep 3:54 am HST

 

Maui County Windward Waters:

Maui County Windward Waters-
333 AM HST Wed Sep 6 2017

.TODAY…East winds 10 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less. North
swell 5 feet. Isolated showers through the day.
.TONIGHT…East winds 15 knots. Wind waves 4 feet. North swell
5 feet. Isolated showers in the evening, then scattered showers
after midnight.
.THURSDAY…East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 4 feet. North swell
5 feet. Scattered showers.

Maalaea Bay:

Maalaea Bay-
333 AM HST Wed Sep 6 2017

.TODAY…North winds 15 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less.
.TONIGHT…North winds 20 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less.
.THURSDAY…North winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less.

 

 

Tides at Kahului: 

High Tide 2:15 AM HST 1.95 ft
Sunrise 6:10 AM HST  
Moonset 6:35 AM HST  
Low Tide 8:17 AM HST 0.06 ft
High Tide 2:51 PM HST 2.58 ft
Sunset 6:36 PM HST  
Moonrise 7:17 PM HST  
Low Tide 9:08 PM HST 0.38 ft

Tides in Kihei:

High Tide 4:07 AM HST 1.79 ft
Sunrise 6:10 AM HST  
Moonset 6:35 AM HST  
Low Tide 9:36 AM HST 0.01 ft
High Tide 4:43 PM HST 2.38 ft
Sunset 6:36 PM HST  
Moonrise 7:17 PM HST  
Low Tide 10:27 PM HST 0.18 ft

Rain Radar: Here is the current Radar Photo:

https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/RadarImg/hawaii.gif

 Clouds over the State:

 

Infrared Satellite Image:

 

Wind Yesterday:  Here is yesterday’s wind graph. Winds were lighter with a very side-onshore direction. The wind started blowing early. Winds averaged Low teens, gusting mid teens. The highest gust was about 17 mph. 

Moon Phase:  Full Moon, Illumination: 100%. The Moon today is in a Full Moon phase. During a Full Moon the moon is 100% illuminated as seen from Earth and is on the opposite side of the Earth from the Sun. The Moon will be visible throughout the night sky rising at sunset in the east and setting with the sunrise the next morning.  More..
Hurricane Season:  Hurricanes are most likely to occur July through December in Hawaii. Hurricanes bring severe bad weather, flooding rain and potentially devastatingly strong winds. The passing of a Hurricane may last days or up to a week or more. The Hurricanes usually develop far away in the eastern Pacific and we generally get several days or more warning of their approach. So there is usually time to make preparations and even evacuate if necessary. Many Hurricanes come close to Hawaii but are just too far away to have a severe effect, This near-miss scenario, and repeated canceled warnings, can give some people a false sense of security. Until one does hit, and then they may be unprepared. Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Climate Change Maui: There is a lot of confusion about climate change. There are anthropogenic (man-made) factors the affect climate, like greenhouse gasses, and deforestation and pollution. This is a worldwide problem but has to be managed locally as well. Reducing our carbon footprint using renewable resources like solar and wind energy, as well as recycling and reusing materials rather than throwing materials away after a single use. also being mindful of not causing harm to the ecosystem by over using toxic agricultural chemicals, Also eating less meat would be some major steps in reducing greenhouse gasses and slowing Global Warming.  

How climate change affects Maui, we are an island so sea level rise is a problem, There is forecast sea level rise globally with an average of 1.8mm per year. Kahului Maui has a forecast annual sea level rise of 2.1mm per year. which is very small annually by adds up over the longer timescale. Here is an inundation map (below) of Kahului after the 1-meter sea level rise. At current rates, this is estimated to be in approximately 500 years. As you can see Kite beach is still there. The negative effects of climate change should not be underestimated. Severe weather and crop failures will have a dramatic effect on the way we live, Storm damage to property and the relocation and reinforcing of infrastructure will be very disruptive and extremely expensive.

BEACH LOSS: Beach Loss is not solely attributed to sea level rise, it is more directly influenced by man-made problems like destruction of wetlands, destruction of sand stocks, covering shoreline dunes with development, 70 years of sand mining (removal of sand and coral from beaches and nearshore waters), and shoreline hardening. These are things that we can more easily remedy (/ remediate), at least in the short-term. Beach restoration, sand supplementation, Dune stabilization with native plants, sand fencing, limiting overuse of the nearshore zone, and of course shoreline setback regulations for new structures being constructed. Shoreline areas need to be preserved for their vital role in protecting our island from shoreline retreat. Beach loss/sand-loss itself is just the symptom of the underlying problems.

Coral Reef Destruction and Degradation: Coral Reef Protects the shoreline from wave action and allows the build up of sandy beaches. Coral Reefs also provide the raw materials for Coral Sands that most Maui beaches are primarily made of. Healthy Coral needs to be protected and appreciated and valued for its role in coastal protection and beach preservation.

Image from Maui Beach Management Plan. Official estimates for sea level rise (annual 2.1mm) put this “1-meter inundation model scenario” at about 500 years in the future.

Loss of Beach Access: A more pressing made-made issue is Loss of Beach Access, where less public ocean access is available. This is due to developers, and public planners failing to protect ocean access points. This is the biggest immediate threat the ocean users face here on Maui.  More Information on Climate Change and Coastal management issues…

Pro-Tip: IF IN DOUBT, DON’T GO OUT

If in doubt, don't go out.

To avoid accidents on the Beach and on the Water, you should Not go out if you are in Doubt. If you are unsure of the conditions, or unsure of your abilities, or unsure of your equipment, then do not go out. You should only launch of you have confidence that you can manage the conditions and remain safe during the activity, If you are unsure of the conditions ask an instructor to assist you or advise you. Self Doubt is usually a sign that the conditions are not right or that you should get some more training. And/or buy the correct kite size. If you did go out anyway, you may get yourself into a bad situation, and then put other people in danger too.

For More Kite Safety Tips Go To Kitesafe.com

 

Maui Surf ReportMaui Surf Report: For more detailed Surf Information go to our Maui Surf Report Page.  

 

Today’s Tides Kahului: For more information about Maui Tides go to our TIDES PAGE.

 

Live Wind Report: Tune into our Daily Weather VLOG on our FaceBook Friend Page at 10:30 am each day. Thanks to our fans and people who regularly watch out VLOG, sometimes we are a little late, and the time of 10:30 may not be exact, so thanks for being patient. Also if you like the VLOG Report, then please let us know and give us a Like on Facebook (Likes are like Hugs!).

 

Our VLOG has Moved

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Find Us on Kite Beach: We are at Kitebeach almost every day (10 am – 5 pm), so come look for our Van, and Drop By and Say hello. *Ask us for a copy of the New MKC Guidelines for Kiting on Maui Brochure that includes a map of Maui kite spots.

Call in for Lessons Schedule and Information, we are on for lessons, today, and we are getting busy, please call us if you want to schedule a lesson. +1 (808) 283-7913

This Wind & Weather Forecast was prepared by our very own in-house amateur meteorologist. “Have fun and be Safe out there.  Aloha,  David Dorn”

UPDATE: (We have reached the 1000 signature mark). The Kanaha Parking Petition is Helping Inform Decision Makers and it is already having a positive effect. However, this battle is still not over. We need to keep sharing our stories and giving reasons of WHY Beach Access parking is Important to us. In your comments Please include Some clear reasons of “Which exact parking access (s) you use (each one is evaluated separately), and Why you Need this Parking to remain as is”, and How it would be burdensome if they move existing parking 100 or more meters away from the shoreline. Give reasons and describe things like your activity, the kind of gear you have to take with you etc. What difference would it make to your enjoyment of the sport, your ability to access ocean, and/or would it affect and change your desire to use the area, or perhaps drive you to use another area, causing changes in usage patterns, user density, or create user safety issues?  The more details given in the comments help to paint a clearer picture for the decision makers about How we use these places, and Why they are important to us. They simply do not know the whys. And Please Keep asking your friends to Sign this Petition and ideally make a Comment too. This Petition is still one of the best tools we have to protect our beach. 

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