Maui Weather Blog 9-21-2017

Maui Weather Blog with David Dorn

Today’s Weather: Thursday, September 21, 2017

The Summary:   NWS says: Isolated showers before noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. East northeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.  Computer Models say:  19-22 mph NE, with surf 3 ft NW. We Say;  The actual wind at Kanaha will likely be in the mid 20’s gusting high 20’s to low 30’s this afternoon. Our “Venturi Factor” Today for Kanaha is 5 out of 10. **Our (relative) Gustiness Factor today should be about 40% which is “bumpy” level.  Today our underlying trade winds will be a tad side-shore and gusty similar to yesterday. For our Weather Update Log into our 10:30 am Live Wind Report on our Facebook Page.

Maui Factor: Maui is not like other places. Maui is perhaps more extreme than most people are expecting. Always treat Nature and the elements here with respect. Be humble and do not underestimate the weather here. Mother Nature is the boss, so do not push your luck no matter how long you have waited to sail or surf here. There are going to be days when you should NOT go out. There will always be conditions too tough even for the biggest expert, never forget that. Maui factor usually also means that you will not be as good as you think you are, the first time you ride here. So start out conservatively and take the time to learn about local conditions. Pay your dues, be respectful, and be prepared to be humbled. With the right attitude and approach, you will better appreciate and ultimately enjoy the uniqueness that Maui has to offer. **Read More Local Information Below at the Bottom of this Page.

 

Photo of the Day. Location Ka'a Point, Kahului. Photo Suzie Dorn
Photo of the Day. Location Ka’a Point, Kahului. Photo Suzie Dorn

Wind Forecast – Model Tables:

Weather Map: Here is the weather map. Global weather patterns affect our local weather. Distant storms produce surf, and massive pressure systems create our winds. We can see these features on the Weather Map. Here is our summary of today’s weather map: There is a circular 1033 mb High-pressure system shifting further to our northeast. So today our underlying trade winds will be steadier than yesterday and a more “better” angle.  Probably a tad side-onshore and less gusty than yesterday. ** These predictions are for the generalized (Tradewind) airflow across the state, and local wind effects (rain/venturi/clouds/etc.) need to be considered.

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/graphics/npac.gif

NWS Current: Here are the Current Conditions and Forecast.

Humidity 71%
Water Temperature                          79.7 °F                                              
Barometer 30.01 in (1016.7 mb)
Dewpoint 67°F (19°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index 79°F (26°C)
Last update 21 Sep 4:54 am HST

Maui County Windward Waters:

Maui County Windward Waters-
330 AM HST Thu Sep 21 2017

.TODAY…East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 6 feet. Northwest swell
3 feet in the afternoon. Swell southeast 3 feet. Isolated
showers.
.TONIGHT…East winds 15 knots. Wind waves 6 feet. Mixed swell
northwest 3 feet and southeast 3 feet. Scattered showers.
.FRIDAY…East winds 15 knots. Wind waves 5 feet. Mixed swell
northwest 3 feet and southeast 3 feet. Scattered showers in the
morning, then isolated showers in the afternoon.

Maalaea Bay:

Maalaea Bay-
330 AM HST Thu Sep 21 2017

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON…

.TODAY…North winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less.
Isolated showers through the day.
.TONIGHT…North winds 20 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less.
.FRIDAY…North winds 20 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less.

Please Note: The NWS sometimes gives their Forecast in Knots (kts) and we give ours in Miles Per Hour (mph).
To convert KTS to MPH, multiply the knots by 1.15 Example 30 kts x 1.15 = 34.5 mph.

For a quick reference go to KiteClub’s Wind Chart.

Tides on Maui: In general Tides only vary about 2 feet in range, While this is a small amount it makes a big difference because the water is shallow in many places and the reef can get close to the surface or exposed at low tides. At high tides beaches are narrow and will have more shorebreak. Pay attention to the tide times for a better safer session. For more detailed information about tides go to our Maui Tides Page. Here are today’s Tides below.

Tides at Kahului: 

High Tide 2:58 AM HST 2.24 ft
Sunrise 6:14 AM HST  
Moonrise 7:37 AM HST  
Low Tide 8:59 AM HST 0.37 ft
High Tide 3:04 PM HST 2.28 ft
Sunset 6:22 PM HST  
Moonset 7:47 PM HST  
Low Tide 9:18 PM HST 0.22 ft

Tides in Kihei:

High Tide 4:50 AM HST 2.06 ft
Sunrise 6:14 AM HST  
Moonrise 7:37 AM HST  
Low Tide 10:18 AM HST 0.17 ft
High Tide 4:56 PM HST 2.10 ft
Sunset 6:22 PM HST  
Moonset 7:47 PM HST  
Low Tide 10:37 PM HST 0.10 ft

Hawaii has Mixed, mainly semidiurnal (MSD) tides:

With two unequal high tides and two unequal low tides per tidal day; this is called a mixed tide and the difference in height between successive high (or low) tides is called the diurnal inequality.

 

Rain Radar: The rain radar is the best way to see if there is bad weather coming especially heavy rains. Rain showers are not only wet, they can cause flooding on land, and rain squalls can cause strong wind gusts. Severe storms may create lightning as well. So it is always prudent to pay attention to the rain radar. Here is the Current Radar Image (click the link below image for the “looping” radar images):

https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/RadarImg/hawaii.gif

 Clouds over the State:

  

Infrared Satellite Image:

 

 

Wind Yesterday:  Here is yesterday’s wind graph. Winds were gusty, averaging mid to high 20’s. Winds were gusting low to mid 30’s. Strongest gust was about 34 mph.

Moon Phase:  Waxing Crescent, Illumination: 2%. The Moon today is in a Waxing Crescent Phase. A Waxing Crescent is the first Phase after the New Moon and is a great time to see the features of the moon’s surface. During this phase the Moon can be seen in the western sky after the sun dips below the horizon at sunset. More..

Changing of the Seasons: Maui has super consistent weather, but we still have seasons here. The Surfing Season is coming and you will notice things changing. Each season has a character a and a rhythm, so be prepared to adjust your approach and technique accordingly. To read more about the different weather by season and by month, Go to our Maui Weather Page..

Oceans are not like Lakes or Rivers: If you are new to ocean sailing then you should get a lesson on Ocean Sailing from one of our Action Sports Maui instructors. There are many common pitfalls and basic survival techniques that you will want to learn before getting yourself into trouble. Talk to Suzie about our “Ocean Rider 101 class”. Read more about ocean safety on our Ocean Safety Page..

Shorebreak Warning: Watch out for shore break. Especially when the tide is high and the swell is up. There tends to be more shore-break. Shore break is waves breaking into the shoreline, and they can be especially dangerous even when they are small. Take care when crossing through the shore break, and do not linger there. Get in and get out quickly, do not lose your footing, and definitely, do not drop your kite in the shore break. *Read More about Shore-breaks go to our Shore Break Warning Page

Strong Wind Warning: Maui has a lot more strong wind days than most other locations. Many people have not kited in strong winds before. Riding in strong winds requires an adapted technique and specialty equipment. If you came to Maui with only large kite sizes then there is a good chance that your kite will be too big some of the time. Do not go out overpowered, you are taking a risk with your own safety but you put other people at risk as well. So always ask one of our local instructors about you kite size choice if you are in any doubt. Your kite should never be significantly larger than the other kites on the water. Note that most of the local riders will make better-informed choices on right kite size for the local conditions. If necessary you will need to rent a smaller kite And/or get a lesson on riding a smaller kite in strong winds. If you have never ridden a small kite size before, then get a lesson from one of our Instructors. Ask Suzie about our High-Wind 101 Lesson. For an overview of the lessons we offer go to our Lesson Overview Slider Here.
Hurricane Season:  Hurricanes are most likely to occur July through December in Hawaii. Hurricanes bring severe bad weather, flooding rain and potentially devastatingly strong winds. The passing of a Hurricane may last days or up to a week or more. The Hurricanes usually develop far away in the eastern Pacific and we generally get several days or more warning of their approach. So there is usually time to make preparations and even evacuate if necessary. Many Hurricanes come close to Hawaii but are just too far away to have a severe effect, This near-miss scenario, and repeated canceled warnings, can give some people a false sense of security. Until one does hit, and then they may be unprepared. Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Climate Change Maui: There is a lot of confusion about climate change. There are anthropogenic (man-made) factors that affect climate, like greenhouse gasses, deforestation, and pollution. This is a worldwide problem but has to be managed locally as well. Reducing our carbon footprint using renewable resources like solar and wind energy, as well as recycling and reusing materials rather than throwing materials away after a single use. Also being mindful of not causing harm to the ecosystem by over using toxic agricultural chemicals. Also eating less meat (reduces greenhouse gasses and deforestation) and would be a major step in slowing Global Warming.  For More Information, including  How climate change affects Maui, Beach Loss, & Coral Reef Destruction and Degradation, Go to Our Climate Change Maui page

TODAY’S KITE SAFETY PRO-TIP:  “BEWARE OF OFFSHORE WIND” 

Offshore wind is inherently dangerous: Never kite in off-shore wind if you have no way to return to shore. For Safety, you always need to be able to drift downwind to a point on land. Offshore winds in a bay:  a small bay that is offshore at the launch, but has another shore with onshore wind, that can be easily reached by downwind body dragging is sometimes acceptable. Never ride in pure offshore winds without a dedicated support boat active on site. Launching in offshore winds is very difficult as winds are usually very gusty. Offshore winds are deceptive; the wind at the shore is usually very different from the wind on the water. People often severely underestimate the wind strength in offshore winds. When you launch/ride in offshore winds there is a greater difficulty returning to the beach afterward. Getting back to the beach may become impossible!  For More Kite Safety Tips Go To Kitesafe.com

Have  Plan Before you Launch: Always consider what will happen when your gear breaks, or you lose your board or kite. What is your plan when gear failure happens? What is your plan when the wind increases/decreases? What is your plan when there is no one to assist you. What is your plan when you get tired/cold/injured?

*Do Not be Intimidated By Maui’s Awesome Power: Fear is a function of self-preservation for good reason because it helps to survive. Listen to your inner voice it is trying to keep you alive. If you are not a little bit scared, then you are likely not experienced enough to be aware of the inherent risk. This can be a problem too. Also if you are over-scared you might not be able to resolve situations and scenarios that will eventually come your way. Ask yourself, am I confident that I can handle the worst-case scenario in these conditions? If the answer is No, then you will benefit from some safety/survival training. Instead of staying on the beach or getting in over your head we recommend that you get an Orientation Session, Safety refresher session,  or High Wind Sailing lesson, with one of our experienced Action Sports Instructors.
BEWARE OF WAVES: 
To avoid accidents, you should Always Beware of Waves. Even a small wave can be very powerful and can turn you upside down, This can lead to serious injury and drowning. Get a lesson before entering the waves, Waves are far different from flat water. Never drop your kite in the breaking waves, and if you do be prepared to let it go. Waves will easily destroy a kite and could hurt you, so invest in a “ride-in-the-waves 101” lesson from an experienced, qualified,  IKO Certified Kiteboarding Instructor. For More Kite Safety Tips Go To Kitesafe.com

Shorebreak Warning: Watch out for shore break. Especially when the tide is high and the swell is up. There tends to be more shore break. Shore break is waves breaking into the shoreline, and they can be especially dangerous even when they are small. Take care when crossing through the shore break, and do not linger there. Get in and get out quickly, do not lose your footing, and definitely, do not drop your kite in the shore break. For More Infor on ShoreBreaks go to our Shore Break Warning Page.  

Maui Surf ReportMaui Surf Report: The Maui Surf Report has far too much information to fit here so it has its very own page. So if you need the latest surf info, like to learn, or are just curious then please check it out. For more detailed Surf Information go to our Maui Surf Report Page.  

Live Wind Report: Tune into our Daily Weather VLOG on our FaceBook Friend Page at 10:30 am each day. Thanks to our fans and people who regularly watch out VLOG, sometimes we are a little late, and the time of 10:30 may not be exact, so thanks for being patient. Also if you like the VLOG Report, then please let us know and give us a Like on Facebook (Likes are like Hugs!).  We have Moved our Wind Report VLOG to our other Facebook Page, please change your “bookmarks” accordingly, and please take a moment to Like and Follow us on Facebook.

Find Us on Kite Beach: We are at Kitebeach almost every day (10 am – 5 pm), so come look for our Van, and Drop By and Say hello. *Ask us for a copy of the New MKC Guidelines for Kiting on Maui Brochure that includes a map of Maui kite spots. Call in for Lessons Schedule and Information, we are on for lessons, today, and we are getting busy, please call us if you want to schedule a lesson. +1 (808) 283-7913

Loss of Beach Access: A most pressing made-made issue is Loss of Beach Access, where less public ocean access is available. This is due to developers, and public planners failing to protect ocean access points. Developers, shady land swaps, county apathy, politics, and power. This is the biggest immediate threat the ocean users face here on Maui.  Ocean access in Hawaii is being lost all of the time, we all need to stay vigilant and get informed, and speak out against it. And when necessary buy back the beach! If you ignore your ability to access the beach, then it will go away!

For More Information go to Maui Kiteboarding Association Save Kanaha Page or Go directly to the Change.org Save Kanaha Petition

Please Share and Like this Blog:  You can be proactive, participate, and help us grow by; sharing, liking, tweeting, and commenting about us.  You can also use the social buttons at the bottom of this page. Likes are like Votes, because we are going to channel our time and energies into our most popular features. So Liking our stuff is a great way for you to let us know what features you would like to see continue. 

 

 
For the Older Weather Blogs Click Here

Maui Weather Blog 9-20-2017

Maui Weather Blog with David Dorn

Today’s Weather: Wednesday, September 20, 2017

The Summary:   NWS says: Scattered showers. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 77. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.   Computer Models say:  18-20 mph ENE, with surf 3 ft NW. We Say;  The actual wind at Kanaha will likely be stronger than the forecast. We estimate that our wind will be in the mid 20’s gusting high 20’s to low 30’s this afternoon. Our “Venturi Factor” Today for Kanaha is 5 out of 10. **Our (relative) Gustiness Factor today should be about 40% which is “bumpy” level.  Today our underlying trade winds will be a tad side-shore and gusty similar to yesterday. For our Weather Update Log into our 10:30 am Live Wind Report on our Facebook Page.

Maui Factor: Maui is not like other places. Maui is perhaps more extreme than most people are expecting. Always treat Nature and the elements here with respect. Be humble and do not underestimate the weather here. Mother Nature is the boss, so do not push your luck no matter how long you have waited to sail or surf here. There are going to be days when you should NOT go out. There will always be conditions too tough even for the biggest expert, never forget that. Maui factor usually also means that you will not be as good as you think you are, the first time you ride here. So start out conservatively and take the time to learn about local conditions. Pay your dues, be respectful, and be prepared to be humbled. With the right attitude and approach, you will better appreciate and ultimately enjoy the uniqueness that Maui has to offer. **Read More Local Information Below at the Bottom of this Page.

*Do Not be Intimidated By Maui’s Awesome Power: Fear is a function of self-preservation for good reason because it helps to survive. Listen to your inner voice it is trying to keep you alive. If you are not a little bit scared, then you are likely not experienced enough to be aware of the inherent risk. This can be a problem too. Also if you are over-scared you might not be able to resolve situations and scenarios that will eventually come your way. Ask yourself, am I confident that I can handle the worst-case scenario in these conditions? If the answer is No, then you will benefit from some safety/survival training. Instead of staying on the beach or getting in over your head we recommend that you get an Orientation Session, Safety refresher session,  or High Wind Sailing lesson, with one of our experienced Action Sports Instructors.

Windy Dayz. Location Kite Beach Maui. Photo Suzie Dorn.
Windy Dayz. Location Kite Beach Maui. Photo Suzie Dorn.

Wind Forecast – Model Tables:

Weather Map: Here is the weather map. Global weather patterns affect our local weather. Distant storms produce surf, and massive pressure systems create our winds. We can see these features on the Weather Map. Here is our summary of today’s weather map: There is a circular 1031 mb High-pressure system ascending further to our north-northeast. So today our underlying trade winds will be steadier than yesterday and a more “normal” angle.  Probably a tad side-shore and gusty similar to yesterday. ** These predictions are for the generalized (Tradewind) airflow across the state, and local wind effects (rain/venturi/clouds/etc.) need to be considered.

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/graphics/npac.gif

NWS Current: Here are the Current Conditions and Forecast.

Humidity 85%
Water Temperature                         80.1 °F                                            
Barometer 30.00 in (1016.2 mb)
Dewpoint 71°F (22°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index 77°F (25°C)
Last update 20 Sep 4:54 am HST

Maui County Windward Waters:

Maui County Windward Waters-
337 AM HST Wed Sep 20 2017

.TODAY…East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 6 feet. Swell southeast
3 feet. Isolated showers.
.TONIGHT…East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 6 feet. Swell
southeast 3 feet. Scattered showers.
.THURSDAY…East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 6 feet. Northwest
swell 3 feet in the afternoon. Swell southeast 3 feet. Scattered
showers in the morning, then isolated showers in the afternoon.

Maalaea Bay:

Maalaea Bay-
337 AM HST Wed Sep 20 2017

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON…

.TODAY…North winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 3 feet. Isolated
showers in the morning.
.TONIGHT…North winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less.
.THURSDAY…North winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less.

Please Note: The NWS sometimes gives their Forecast in Knots (kts) and we give ours in Miles Per Hour (mph).
To convert KTS to MPH, multiply the knots by 1.15 Example 30 kts x 1.15 = 34.5 mph.

For a quick reference go to KiteClub’s Wind Chart.

Tides on Maui: In general Tides only vary about 2 feet in range, While this is a small amount it makes a big difference because the water is shallow in many places and the reef can get close to the surface or exposed at low tides. At high tides beaches are narrow and will have more shorebreak. Pay attention to the tide times for a better safer session. For more detailed information about tides go to our Maui Tides Page. Here are today’s Tides below.

Tides at Kahului: 

High Tide 2:22 AM HST 2.16 ft
Sunrise 6:14 AM HST  
Moonrise 6:43 AM HST  
Low Tide 8:23 AM HST 0.21 ft
High Tide 2:39 PM HST 2.44 ft
Sunset 6:23 PM HST  
Moonset 7:07 PM HST  
Low Tide 8:53 PM HST 0.25 ft

Tides in Kihei:

High Tide 4:14 AM HST 1.98 ft
Sunrise 6:14 AM HST  
Moonrise 6:43 AM HST  
Low Tide 9:42 AM HST 0.09 ft
High Tide 4:31 PM HST 2.25 ft
Sunset 6:23 PM HST  
Moonset 7:07 PM HST  
Low Tide 10:12 PM HST 0.11 ft

Interesting to Note:

  • The time difference between Kanaha and Kihei High Tides today is, 1 hour, 52 minutes.
  • The “tidal period” (time between Low and  High tides) at Kanaha today is, 6 hours, 16 minutes.
  • The “tidal period” (time between High and next Low tides) at Kanaha today is, 6 hours, 14 minutes.
  • The “tidal period” (time between the two High tides) at Kanaha today is, 12 hours, 17 minutes.

Hawaii has Mixed, mainly semidiurnal (MSD) tides:

With two unequal high tides and two unequal low tides per tidal day; this is called a mixed tide and the difference in height between successive high (or low) tides is called the diurnal inequality.

 

Rain Radar: The rain radar is the best way to see if there is bad weather coming especially heavy rains. Rain showers are not only wet, they can cause flooding on land, and rain squalls can cause strong wind gusts. Severe storms may create lightning as well. So it is always prudent to pay attention to the rain radar. Here is the Current Radar Image (click the link below image for the “looping” radar images):

https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/RadarImg/hawaii.gif

 Clouds over the State:

  

Infrared Satellite Image:

 

Wind Yesterday:  Here is yesterday’s wind graph. Winds were gusty, averaging mid 20’s. Winds were gusting low to mid 30’s. Strongest gust was about 37 mph.

 

Moon Phase:  New Moon, Illumination: 0%. The Moon today is in a New Moon phase. During this phase the Moon is to close to the sun in the sky to be visible. The moon rises and sets with the sun and is not present in the night sky. Because of this the night sky is darker and an excellent time to view other celestial objects. More..

Changing of the Seasons: Maui has super consistent weather, but we still have seasons here. The Surfing Season is coming and you will notice things changing. Each season has a character a and a rhythm, so be prepared to adjust your approach and technique accordingly. To read more about the different weather by season and by month, Go to our Maui Weather Page..

Oceans are not like Lakes or Rivers: If you are new to ocean sailing then you should get a lesson on Ocean Sailing from one of our Action Sports Maui instructors. There are many common pitfalls and basic survival techniques that you will want to learn before getting yourself into trouble. Talk to Suzie about our “Ocean Rider 101 class”. Read more about ocean safety on our Ocean Safety Page..

Shorebreak Warning: Watch out for shore break. Especially when the tide is high and the swell is up. There tends to be more shore-break. Shore break is waves breaking into the shoreline, and they can be especially dangerous even when they are small. Take care when crossing through the shore break, and do not linger there. Get in and get out quickly, do not lose your footing, and definitely, do not drop your kite in the shore break. *Read More about Shore-breaks go to our Shore Break Warning Page

Strong Wind Warning: Maui has a lot more strong wind days than most other locations. Many people have not kited in strong winds before. Riding in strong winds requires an adapted technique and specialty equipment. If you came to Maui with only large kite sizes then there is a good chance that your kite will be too big some of the time. Do not go out overpowered, you are taking a risk with your own safety but you put other people at risk as well. So always ask one of our local instructors about you kite size choice if you are in any doubt. Your kite should never be significantly larger than the other kites on the water. Note that most of the local riders will make better-informed choices on right kite size for the local conditions. If necessary you will need to rent a smaller kite And/or get a lesson on riding a smaller kite in strong winds. If you have never ridden a small kite size before, then get a lesson from one of our Instructors. Ask Suzie about our High-Wind 101 Lesson. For an overview of the lessons we offer go to our Lesson Overview Slider Here.
Hurricane Season:  Hurricanes are most likely to occur July through December in Hawaii. Hurricanes bring severe bad weather, flooding rain and potentially devastatingly strong winds. The passing of a Hurricane may last days or up to a week or more. The Hurricanes usually develop far away in the eastern Pacific and we generally get several days or more warning of their approach. So there is usually time to make preparations and even evacuate if necessary. Many Hurricanes come close to Hawaii but are just too far away to have a severe effect, This near-miss scenario, and repeated canceled warnings, can give some people a false sense of security. Until one does hit, and then they may be unprepared. Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Climate Change Maui: There is a lot of confusion about climate change. There are anthropogenic (man-made) factors that affect climate, like greenhouse gasses, deforestation, and pollution. This is a worldwide problem but has to be managed locally as well. Reducing our carbon footprint using renewable resources like solar and wind energy, as well as recycling and reusing materials rather than throwing materials away after a single use. Also being mindful of not causing harm to the ecosystem by over using toxic agricultural chemicals. Also eating less meat (reduces greenhouse gasses and deforestation) and would be a major step in slowing Global Warming.  For More Information, including  How climate change affects Maui, Beach Loss, & Coral Reef Destruction and Degradation, Go to Our Climate Change Maui page

TODAY’S KITE SAFETY PRO-TIP:  “BEWARE OF OFFSHORE WIND” 

Offshore wind is inherently dangerous: Never kite in off-shore wind if you have no way to return to shore. For Safety, you always need to be able to drift downwind to a point on land. Offshore winds in a bay:  a small bay that is offshore at the launch, but has another shore with onshore wind, that can be easily reached by downwind body dragging is sometimes acceptable. Never ride in pure offshore winds without a dedicated support boat active on site. Launching in offshore winds is very difficult as winds are usually very gusty. Offshore winds are deceptive; the wind at the shore is usually very different from the wind on the water. People often severely underestimate the wind strength in offshore winds. When you launch/ride in offshore winds there is a greater difficulty returning to the beach afterward. Getting back to the beach may become impossible!  For More Kite Safety Tips Go To Kitesafe.com

Have  Plan Before you Launch: Always consider what will happen when your gear breaks, or you lose your board or kite. What is your plan when gear failure happens? What is your plan when the wind increases/decreases? What is your plan when there is no one to assist you. What is your plan when you get tired/cold/injured?

BEWARE OF WAVES: 
To avoid accidents, you should Always Beware of Waves. Even a small wave can be very powerful and can turn you upside down, This can lead to serious injury and drowning. Get a lesson before entering the waves, Waves are far different from flat water. Never drop your kite in the breaking waves, and if you do be prepared to let it go. Waves will easily destroy a kite and could hurt you, so invest in a “ride-in-the-waves 101” lesson from an experienced, qualified,  IKO Certified Kiteboarding Instructor. For More Kite Safety Tips Go To Kitesafe.com

Shorebreak Warning: Watch out for shore break. Especially when the tide is high and the swell is up. There tends to be more shore break. Shore break is waves breaking into the shoreline, and they can be especially dangerous even when they are small. Take care when crossing through the shore break, and do not linger there. Get in and get out quickly, do not lose your footing, and definitely, do not drop your kite in the shore break. For More Infor on ShoreBreaks go to our Shore Break Warning Page.  

Maui Surf ReportMaui Surf Report: The Maui Surf Report has far too much information to fit here so it has its very own page. So if you need the latest surf info, like to learn, or are just curious then please check it out. For more detailed Surf Information go to our Maui Surf Report Page.  

Live Wind Report: Tune into our Daily Weather VLOG on our FaceBook Friend Page at 10:30 am each day. Thanks to our fans and people who regularly watch out VLOG, sometimes we are a little late, and the time of 10:30 may not be exact, so thanks for being patient. Also if you like the VLOG Report, then please let us know and give us a Like on Facebook (Likes are like Hugs!).  We have Moved our Wind Report VLOG to our other Facebook Page, please change your “bookmarks” accordingly, and please take a moment to Like and Follow us on Facebook.

Find Us on Kite Beach: We are at Kitebeach almost every day (10 am – 5 pm), so come look for our Van, and Drop By and Say hello. *Ask us for a copy of the New MKC Guidelines for Kiting on Maui Brochure that includes a map of Maui kite spots. Call in for Lessons Schedule and Information, we are on for lessons, today, and we are getting busy, please call us if you want to schedule a lesson. +1 (808) 283-7913

Loss of Beach Access: A most pressing made-made issue is Loss of Beach Access, where less public ocean access is available. This is due to developers, and public planners failing to protect ocean access points. Developers, shady land swaps, county apathy, politics, and power. This is the biggest immediate threat the ocean users face here on Maui.  Ocean access in Hawaii is being lost all of the time, we all need to stay vigilant and get informed, and speak out against it. And when necessary buy back the beach! If you ignore your ability to access the beach, then it will go away!

For More Information go to Maui Kiteboarding Association Save Kanaha Page or Go directly to the Change.org Save Kanaha Petition

Please Share and Like this Blog:  You can be proactive, participate, and help us grow by; sharing, liking, tweeting, and commenting about us.  You can also use the social buttons at the bottom of this page. Likes are like Votes, because we are going to channel our time and energies into our most popular features. So Liking our stuff is a great way for you to let us know what features you would like to see continue. 

 

 
For the Older Weather Blogs Click Here

Maui Weather Blog 9-19-2017

Maui Weather Blog with David Dorn

Today’s Weather: Tuesday, September 19, 2017

The Summary:   NWS says: Sunny, with a high near 90. Breezy, with an east northeast wind 8 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.  Computer Models say:  17-19 mph ENE, with surf 3 ft NW. We Say;  The actual wind at Kanaha will likely be stronger than the forecast. We estimate that our wind will be in the mid 20’s gusting high 20’s to low 30’s this afternoon. Our “Venturi Factor” Today for Kanaha is 5 out of 10. **Our (relative) Gustiness Factor today should be about 40% which is “bumpy” level.  The wind should be side-onshore today, and more filled into the beach. For our Weather Update Log into our 10:30 am Live Wind Report on our Facebook Page.

Maui Factor: Maui is not like other places. Maui is perhaps more extreme than most people are expecting. Always treat Nature and the elements here with respect. Be humble and do not underestimate the weather here. Mother Nature is the boss, so do not push your luck no matter how long you have waited to sail or surf here. There are going to be days when you should NOT go out. There will always be conditions too tough even for the biggest expert, never forget that. Maui factor usually also means that you will not be as good as you think you are, the first time you ride here. So start out conservatively and take the time to learn about local conditions. Pay your dues, be respectful, and be prepared to be humbled. With the right attitude and approach, you will better appreciate and ultimately enjoy the uniqueness that Maui has to offer. **Read More Local Information Below at the Bottom of this Page.

*Do Not be Intimidated By Maui’s Awesome Power: Fear is a function of self-preservation for good reason because it helps to survive. Listen to your inner voice it is trying to keep you alive. If you are not a little bit scared, then you are likely not experienced enough to be aware of the inherent risk. This can be a problem too. Also if you are over-scared you might not be able to resolve situations and scenarios that will eventually come your way. Ask yourself, am I confident that I can handle the worst-case scenario in these conditions? If the answer is No, then you will benefit from some safety/survival training. Instead of staying on the beach or getting in over your head we recommend that you get an Orientation Session, Safety refresher session,  or High Wind Sailing lesson, with one of our experienced Action Sports Instructors.

Campground / Old Mans Beach - Parking Area and Shoreline Access
Campground / Old Mans Beach – Parking Area and Shoreline Access

Wind Forecast – Model Tables:

Weather Map: Here is the weather map. Global weather patterns affect our local weather. Distant storms produce surf, and massive pressure systems create our winds. We can see these features on the Weather Map. Here is our summary of today’s weather map: There is a circular 1031 mb High-pressure system to our northnortheast. So today our underlying trade winds will be steadier than yesterday and a more “normal” angle.  ** These predictions are for the generalized (Tradewind) airflow across the state, and local wind effects (rain/venturi/clouds/etc.) need to be considered.

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/graphics/npac.gif

NWS Current: Here are the Current Conditions and Forecast.

Humidity 74%
Water Temperature                        80.1 °F                                          
Barometer 29.95 in (1014.6 mb)
Dewpoint 67°F (19°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index 77°F (25°C)
Last update 19 Sep 5:54 am HST

Maui County Windward Waters:

Maui County Windward Waters-
322 AM HST Tue Sep 19 2017

.TODAY…East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 6 feet. Swell southeast
3 feet. Scattered showers in the morning, then isolated showers
in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT…East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 6 feet. Swell
southeast 3 feet. Isolated showers in the evening, then scattered
showers after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY…East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 6 feet. Swell
southeast 3 feet. Scattered showers.

Maalaea Bay:

Maalaea Bay-
322 AM HST Tue Sep 19 2017

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON…

.TODAY…North winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less.
.TONIGHT…North winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 2 feet or less.
.WEDNESDAY…North winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 3 feet in the
morning then 2 feet or less. Isolated showers in the afternoon.

Please Note: The NWS sometimes gives their Forecast in Knots (kts) and we give ours in Miles Per Hour (mph).
To convert KTS to MPH, multiply the knots by 1.15 Example 30 kts x 1.15 = 34.5 mph.

For a quick reference go to KiteClub’s Wind Chart.

Tides on Maui: In general Tides only vary about 2 feet in range, While this is a small amount it makes a big difference because the water is shallow in many places and the reef can get close to the surface or exposed at low tides. At high tides beaches are narrow and will have more shorebreak. Pay attention to the tide times for a better safer session. For more detailed information about tides go to our Maui Tides Page. Here are today’s Tides below.

Tides at Kahului: 

High Tide 1:45 AM HST 2.02 ft
Moonrise 5:48 AM HST  
Sunrise 6:14 AM HST  
Low Tide 7:45 AM HST 0.11 ft
High Tide 2:13 PM HST 2.56 ft
Sunset 6:24 PM HST  
Moonset 6:27 PM HST  
New Moon 7:30 PM HST  
Low Tide 8:28 PM HST 0.31 ft

Tides in Kihei:

High Tide 3:36 AM HST 1.85 ft
Moonrise 5:48 AM HST  
Sunrise 6:14 AM HST  
Low Tide 9:04 AM HST 0.03 ft
High Tide 4:05 PM HST 2.36 ft
Sunset 6:24 PM HST  
Moonset 6:27 PM HST  
New Moon 7:30 PM HST  
Low Tide 9:47 PM HST 0.14 ft

Interesting to Note:

  • The time difference between Kanaha and Kihei High Tides today is, 1 hour, 52 minutes.
  • The “tidal period” (time between Low and  High tides) at Kanaha today is, 6 hours, 28 minutes.
  • The “tidal period” (time between High and next Low tides) at Kanaha today is, 6 hours, 15 minutes.
  • The “tidal period” (time between the two High tides) at Kanaha today is, 12 hours, 28 minutes.

Hawaii has Mixed, mainly semidiurnal (MSD) tides:

With two unequal high tides and two unequal low tides per tidal day; this is called a mixed tide and the difference in height between successive high (or low) tides is called the diurnal inequality.

 

Rain Radar: The rain radar is the best way to see if there is bad weather coming especially heavy rains. Rain showers are not only wet, they can cause flooding on land, and rain squalls can cause strong wind gusts. Severe storms may create lightning as well. So it is always prudent to pay attention to the rain radar. Here is the Current Radar Image (click the image for the “looping” radar image):

https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/RadarImg/hawaii.gif

 Clouds over the State:

  

Infrared Satellite Image:

 

Wind Yesterday:  Here is yesterday’s wind graph. Winds were gusty, averaging mid 20’s climbing to around 30. Winds were gusting mid 30’s to almost 40 mph by the afternoon.

 

Moon Phase:  Waning Crescent, Illumination: 1%. The Moon today is in a Waning Crescent phase. In this phase, the Moon’s illumination is growing smaller each day until the New Moon. During this phase, the Moon is getting closer to the Sun as viewed from Earth and the night side of the Moon is facing the Earth with only a small edge of the Moon being illuminated. More..

Changing of the Seasons: Maui has super consistent weather, but we still have seasons here. The Surfing Season is coming and you will notice things changing. Each season has a character a and a rhythm, so be prepared to adjust your approach and technique accordingly. To read more about the different weather by season and by month, Go to our Maui Weather Page..

Oceans are not like Lakes or Rivers: If you are new to ocean sailing then you should get a lesson on Ocean Sailing from one of our Action Sports Maui instructors. There are many common pitfalls and basic survival techniques that you will want to learn before getting yourself into trouble. Talk to Suzie about our “Ocean Rider 101 class”. Read more about ocean safety on our Ocean Safety Page..

Shorebreak Warning: Watch out for shore break. Especially when the tide is high and the swell is up. There tends to be more shore-break. Shore break is waves breaking into the shoreline, and they can be especially dangerous even when they are small. Take care when crossing through the shore break, and do not linger there. Get in and get out quickly, do not lose your footing, and definitely, do not drop your kite in the shore break. *Read More about Shore-breaks go to our Shore Break Warning Page

Strong Wind Warning: Maui has a lot more strong wind days than most other locations. Many people have not kited in strong winds before. Riding in strong winds requires an adapted technique and specialty equipment. If you came to Maui with only large kite sizes then there is a good chance that your kite will be too big some of the time. Do not go out overpowered, you are taking a risk with your own safety but you put other people at risk as well. So always ask one of our local instructors about you kite size choice if you are in any doubt. Your kite should never be significantly larger than the other kites on the water. Note that most of the local riders will make better-informed choices on right kite size for the local conditions. If necessary you will need to rent a smaller kite And/or get a lesson on riding a smaller kite in strong winds. If you have never ridden a small kite size before, then get a lesson from one of our Instructors. Ask Suzie about our High-Wind 101 Lesson. For an overview of the lessons we offer go to our Lesson Overview Slider Here.
Hurricane Season:  Hurricanes are most likely to occur July through December in Hawaii. Hurricanes bring severe bad weather, flooding rain and potentially devastatingly strong winds. The passing of a Hurricane may last days or up to a week or more. The Hurricanes usually develop far away in the eastern Pacific and we generally get several days or more warning of their approach. So there is usually time to make preparations and even evacuate if necessary. Many Hurricanes come close to Hawaii but are just too far away to have a severe effect, This near-miss scenario, and repeated canceled warnings, can give some people a false sense of security. Until one does hit, and then they may be unprepared. Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Climate Change Maui: There is a lot of confusion about climate change. There are anthropogenic (man-made) factors that affect climate, like greenhouse gasses, deforestation, and pollution. This is a worldwide problem but has to be managed locally as well. Reducing our carbon footprint using renewable resources like solar and wind energy, as well as recycling and reusing materials rather than throwing materials away after a single use. Also being mindful of not causing harm to the ecosystem by over using toxic agricultural chemicals. Also eating less meat (reduces greenhouse gasses and deforestation) and would be a major step in slowing Global Warming.  For More Information, including  How climate change affects Maui, Beach Loss, & Coral Reef Destruction and Degradation, Go to Our Climate Change Maui page

TODAY’S KITE SAFETY PRO-TIP:  “BEWARE OF OFFSHORE WIND” 

Offshore wind is inherently dangerous: Never kite in off-shore wind if you have no way to return to shore. For Safety, you always need to be able to drift downwind to a point on land. Offshore winds in a bay:  a small bay that is offshore at the launch, but has another shore with onshore wind, that can be easily reached by downwind body dragging is sometimes acceptable. Never ride in pure offshore winds without a dedicated support boat active on site. Launching in offshore winds is very difficult as winds are usually very gusty. Offshore winds are deceptive; the wind at the shore is usually very different from the wind on the water. People often severely underestimate the wind strength in offshore winds. When you launch/ride in offshore winds there is a greater difficulty returning to the beach afterward. Getting back to the beach may become impossible!

Have  Plan Before you Launch: Always consider what will happen when your gear breaks, or you lose your board or kite. What is your plan when gear failure happens? What is your plan when the wind increases/decreases? What is your plan when there is no one to assist you. What is your plan when you get tired/cold/injured?

BEWARE OF WAVES: 
To avoid accidents, you should Always Beware of Waves. Even a small wave can be very powerful and can turn you upside down, This can lead to serious injury and drowning. Get a lesson before entering the waves, Waves are far different from flat water. Never drop your kite in the breaking waves, and if you do be prepared to let it go. Waves will easily destroy a kite and could hurt you, so invest in a “ride-in-the-waves 101” lesson from an experienced, qualified,  IKO Certified Kiteboarding Instructor. For More Kite Safety Tips Go To Kitesafe.com

Shorebreak Warning: Watch out for shore break. Especially when the tide is high and the swell is up. There tends to be more shore break. Shore break is waves breaking into the shoreline, and they can be especially dangerous even when they are small. Take care when crossing through the shore break, and do not linger there. Get in and get out quickly, do not lose your footing, and definitely, do not drop your kite in the shore break. For More Infor on ShoreBreaks go to our Shore Break Warning Page.  

Maui Surf ReportMaui Surf Report: The Maui Surf Report has far too much information to fit here so it has its very own page. So if you need the latest surf info, like to learn, or are just curious then please check it out. For more detailed Surf Information go to our Maui Surf Report Page.  

Live Wind Report: Tune into our Daily Weather VLOG on our FaceBook Friend Page at 10:30 am each day. Thanks to our fans and people who regularly watch out VLOG, sometimes we are a little late, and the time of 10:30 may not be exact, so thanks for being patient. Also if you like the VLOG Report, then please let us know and give us a Like on Facebook (Likes are like Hugs!).  We have Moved our Wind Report VLOG to our other Facebook Page, please change your “bookmarks” accordingly, and please take a moment to Like and Follow us on Facebook.

Find Us on Kite Beach: We are at Kitebeach almost every day (10 am – 5 pm), so come look for our Van, and Drop By and Say hello. *Ask us for a copy of the New MKC Guidelines for Kiting on Maui Brochure that includes a map of Maui kite spots. Call in for Lessons Schedule and Information, we are on for lessons, today, and we are getting busy, please call us if you want to schedule a lesson. +1 (808) 283-7913

Loss of Beach Access: A most pressing made-made issue is Loss of Beach Access, where less public ocean access is available. This is due to developers, and public planners failing to protect ocean access points. Developers, shady land swaps, county apathy, politics, and power. This is the biggest immediate threat the ocean users face here on Maui.  Ocean access in Hawaii is being lost all of the time, we all need to stay vigilant and get informed, and speak out against it. And when necessary buy back the beach! If you ignore your ability to access the beach, then it will go away!

For More Information go to Maui Kiteboarding Association Save Kanaha Page or Go directly to the Change.org Save Kanaha Petition

Please Share and Like this Blog:  You can be proactive, participate, and help us grow by; sharing, liking, tweeting, and commenting about us.  You can also use the social buttons at the bottom of this page. Likes are like Votes, because we are going to channel our time and energies into our most popular features. So Liking our stuff is a great way for you to let us know what features you would like to see continue. 

 

 
For the Older Weather Blogs Click Here

Maui Weather Blog 9-18-2017

Maui Weather Blog with David Dorn

Today’s Weather: Monday, September 18, 2017

The Summary:   NWS says: Sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 95. Windy, with an east northeast wind 15 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.  Computer Models say:  21-25 mph ENE, with surf 3 ft NNW. We Say;  The actual wind at Kanaha will likely be stronger than the forecast. We estimate that our wind will be in the mid to high 20’s gusting to low to mid 30’s today. Our “Venturi Factor” Today for Kanaha is 6 out of 10. **Our (relative) Gustiness Factor today should be about 40% which is “bumpy” level.  The wind should be more side-onshore today, and a little more filled into the beach. For our Weather Update Log into our 10:30 am Live Wind Report on our Facebook Page.

Maui Factor: Maui is not like other places. Maui is perhaps more extreme than most people are expecting. Always treat Nature and the elements here with respect. Be humble and do not underestimate the weather here. Mother Nature is the boss, so do not push your luck no matter how long you have waited to sail or surf here. There are going to be days when you should NOT go out. There will always be conditions too tough even for the biggest expert, never forget that. Maui factor usually also means that you will not be as good as you think you are, the first time you ride here. So start out conservatively and take the time to learn about local conditions. Pay your dues, be respectful, and be prepared to be humbled. With the right attitude and approach, you will better appreciate and ultimately enjoy the uniqueness that Maui has to offer. **Read More Local Information Below at the Bottom of this Page.

*Do Not be Intimidated By Maui’s Awesome Power: Fear is a function of self-preservation for good reason because it helps to survive. Listen to your inner voice it is trying to keep you alive. If you are not a little bit scared, then you are likely not experienced enough to be aware of the inherent risk. This can be a problem too. Also if you are over-scared you might not be able to resolve situations and scenarios that will eventually come your way. Ask yourself, am I confident that I can handle the worst-case scenario in these conditions? If the answer is No, then you will benefit from some safety/survival training. Instead of staying on the beach or getting in over your head we recommend that you get an Orientation Session, Safety refresher session,  or High Wind Sailing lesson, with one of our experienced Action Sports Instructors.

Skyriding. Photo Suzie Dorn.
Skyriding. Photo Suzie Dorn.

Wind Forecast – Model Tables:

Weather Map: Here is the weather map. Global weather patterns affect our local weather. Distant storms produce surf, and massive pressure systems create our winds. We can see these features on the Weather Map. Here is our summary of today’s weather map: There is a solid 1032 mb High-pressure system to our North, and the remnant cold front that was to our Northwest has dissipated. So today our underlying trade winds will be less easterly than yesterday and much more “normal”.  ** These predictions are for the generalized (Tradewind) airflow across the state, and local wind effects (rain/venturi/clouds/etc.) need to be considered.

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/graphics/npac.gif

NWS Current: Here are the Current Conditions and Forecast.

Humidity 74%
Water Temperature                       81.1 °F                                        
Barometer 29.97 in (1015.4 mb)
Dewpoint 66°F (19°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 18 Sep 3:54 am HST

Maui County Windward Waters:

Maui County Windward Waters-
330 AM HST Mon Sep 18 2017

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON…

.TODAY…East winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 7 feet. Swell
southeast 3 feet. Scattered showers in the morning, then isolated
showers in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT…East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 6 feet. Swell
southeast 3 feet. Isolated showers in the evening, then scattered
showers after midnight.
.TUESDAY…East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 5 feet. Swell
southeast 3 feet. Scattered showers in the morning, then isolated
showers in the afternoon.

Maalaea Bay:

Maalaea Bay-
330 AM HST Mon Sep 18 2017

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON…

.TODAY…Northeast winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 3 feet.
.TONIGHT…North winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 3 feet.

Please Note: The NWS sometimes gives their Forecast in Knots (kts) and we give ours in Miles Per Hour (mph).
To convert KTS to MPH, multiply the knots by 1.15 Example 30 kts x 1.15 = 34.5 mph.

For a quick reference go to KiteClub’s Wind Chart.

Tides on Maui: In general Tides only vary about 2 feet in range, While this is a small amount it makes a big difference because the water is shallow in many places and the reef can get close to the surface or exposed at low tides. At high tides beaches are narrow and will have more shorebreak. Pay attention to the tide times for a better safer session. For more detailed information about tides go to our Maui Tides Page. Here are today’s Tides below.

Tides at Kahului: 

High Tide 1:05 AM HST 1.83 ft
Moonrise 4:51 AM HST  
Sunrise 6:13 AM HST  
Low Tide 7:05 AM HST 0.07 ft
High Tide 1:45 PM HST 2.63 ft
Moonset 5:45 PM HST  
Sunset 6:25 PM HST  
Low Tide 8:04 PM HST 0.41 ft

Tides in Kihei:

High Tide 2:57 AM HST 1.68 ft
Moonrise 4:51 AM HST  
Sunrise 6:13 AM HST  
Low Tide 8:24 AM HST 0.01 ft
High Tide 3:37 PM HST 2.43 ft
Moonset 5:45 PM HST  
Sunset 6:25 PM HST  
Low Tide 9:23 PM HST 0.19 ft

*Interesting to Note: the time difference between Kanaha and Kihei High Tides today is, 1 hour, 52 minutes.

 

Rain Radar: The rain radar is the best way to see if there is bad weather coming especially heavy rains. Rain showers are not only wet, they can cause flooding on land, and rain squalls can cause strong wind gusts. Severe storms may create lightning as well. So it is always prudent to pay attention to the rain radar. Here is the Current Radar Image (click the image for the “looping” radar image):

https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/RadarImg/hawaii.gif

 Clouds over the State:

 

 

Infrared Satellite Image:

 

 

Wind Yesterday:  Here is yesterday’s wind graph. Winds were gusty, averaging mid 20’s. Winds were gusting over 30.  The highest gusts were hit 38 mph. 

 

Moon Phase:  Waning Crescent, Illumination: 4%. The Moon today is in a Waning Crescent phase. In this phase, the Moon’s illumination is growing smaller each day until the New Moon. During this phase, the Moon is getting closer to the Sun as viewed from Earth and the night side of the Moon is facing the Earth with only a small edge of the Moon being illuminated. More..

Changing of the Seasons: Maui has super consistent weather, but we still have seasons here. The Surfing Season is coming and you will notice things changing. Each season has a character a and a rhythm, so be prepared to adjust your approach and technique accordingly. To read more about the different weather by season and by month, Go to our Maui Weather Page..

Oceans are not like Lakes or Rivers: If you are new to ocean sailing then you should get a lesson on Ocean Sailing from one of our Action Sports Maui instructors. There are many common pitfalls and basic survival techniques that you will want to learn before getting yourself into trouble. Talk to Suzie about our “Ocean Rider 101 class”. Read more about ocean safety on our Ocean Safety Page..

Shorebreak Warning: Watch out for shore break. Especially when the tide is high and the swell is up. There tends to be more shore-break. Shore break is waves breaking into the shoreline, and they can be especially dangerous even when they are small. Take care when crossing through the shore break, and do not linger there. Get in and get out quickly, do not lose your footing, and definitely, do not drop your kite in the shore break. *Read More about Shore-breaks go to our Shore Break Warning Page

Strong Wind Warning: Maui has a lot more strong wind days than most other locations. Many people have not kited in strong winds before. Riding in strong winds requires an adapted technique and specialty equipment. If you came to Maui with only large kite sizes then there is a good chance that your kite will be too big some of the time. Do not go out overpowered, you are taking a risk with your own safety but you put other people at risk as well. So always ask one of our local instructors about you kite size choice if you are in any doubt. Your kite should never be significantly larger than the other kites on the water. Note that most of the local riders will make better-informed choices on right kite size for the local conditions. If necessary you will need to rent a smaller kite And/or get a lesson on riding a smaller kite in strong winds. If you have never ridden a small kite size before, then get a lesson from one of our Instructors. Ask Suzie about our High-Wind 101 Lesson. For an overview of the lessons we offer go to our Lesson Overview Slider Here.
Hurricane Season:  Hurricanes are most likely to occur July through December in Hawaii. Hurricanes bring severe bad weather, flooding rain and potentially devastatingly strong winds. The passing of a Hurricane may last days or up to a week or more. The Hurricanes usually develop far away in the eastern Pacific and we generally get several days or more warning of their approach. So there is usually time to make preparations and even evacuate if necessary. Many Hurricanes come close to Hawaii but are just too far away to have a severe effect, This near-miss scenario, and repeated canceled warnings, can give some people a false sense of security. Until one does hit, and then they may be unprepared. Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Climate Change Maui: There is a lot of confusion about climate change. There are anthropogenic (man-made) factors that affect climate, like greenhouse gasses, deforestation, and pollution. This is a worldwide problem but has to be managed locally as well. Reducing our carbon footprint using renewable resources like solar and wind energy, as well as recycling and reusing materials rather than throwing materials away after a single use. Also being mindful of not causing harm to the ecosystem by over using toxic agricultural chemicals. Also eating less meat (reduces greenhouse gasses and deforestation) and would be a major step in slowing Global Warming.  For More Information, including  How climate change affects Maui, Beach Loss, & Coral Reef Destruction and Degradation, Go to Our Climate Change Maui page

TODAY’S KITE SAFETY PRO-TIP:  “BEWARE OF OFFSHORE WIND” 

Offshore wind is inherently dangerous: Never kite in off-shore wind if you have no way to return to shore. For Safety, you always need to be able to drift downwind to a point on land. Offshore winds in a bay:  a small bay that is offshore at the launch, but has another shore with onshore wind, that can be easily reached by downwind body dragging is sometimes acceptable. Never ride in pure offshore winds without a dedicated support boat active on site. Launching in offshore winds is very difficult as winds are usually very gusty. Offshore winds are deceptive; the wind at the shore is usually very different from the wind on the water. People often severely underestimate the wind strength in offshore winds. When you launch/ride in offshore winds there is a greater difficulty returning to the beach afterward. Getting back to the beach may become impossible!

Have  Plan Before you Launch: Always consider what will happen when your gear breaks, or you lose your board or kite. What is your plan when gear failure happens? What is your plan when the wind increases/decreases? What is your plan when there is no one to assist you. What is your plan when you get tired/cold/injured?

BEWARE OF WAVES: 
To avoid accidents, you should Always Beware of Waves. Even a small wave can be very powerful and can turn you upside down, This can lead to serious injury and drowning. Get a lesson before entering the waves, Waves are far different from flat water. Never drop your kite in the breaking waves, and if you do be prepared to let it go. Waves will easily destroy a kite and could hurt you, so invest in a “ride-in-the-waves 101” lesson from an experienced, qualified,  IKO Certified Kiteboarding Instructor. For More Kite Safety Tips Go To Kitesafe.com

Shorebreak Warning: Watch out for shore break. Especially when the tide is high and the swell is up. There tends to be more shore break. Shore break is waves breaking into the shoreline, and they can be especially dangerous even when they are small. Take care when crossing through the shore break, and do not linger there. Get in and get out quickly, do not lose your footing, and definitely, do not drop your kite in the shore break. For More Infor on ShoreBreaks go to our Shore Break Warning Page.  

Maui Surf ReportMaui Surf Report: The Maui Surf Report has far too much information to fit here so it has its very own page. So if you need the latest surf info, like to learn, or are just curious then please check it out. For more detailed Surf Information go to our Maui Surf Report Page.  

Live Wind Report: Tune into our Daily Weather VLOG on our FaceBook Friend Page at 10:30 am each day. Thanks to our fans and people who regularly watch out VLOG, sometimes we are a little late, and the time of 10:30 may not be exact, so thanks for being patient. Also if you like the VLOG Report, then please let us know and give us a Like on Facebook (Likes are like Hugs!).  We have Moved our Wind Report VLOG to our other Facebook Page, please change your “bookmarks” accordingly, and please take a moment to Like and Follow us on Facebook.

Find Us on Kite Beach: We are at Kitebeach almost every day (10 am – 5 pm), so come look for our Van, and Drop By and Say hello. *Ask us for a copy of the New MKC Guidelines for Kiting on Maui Brochure that includes a map of Maui kite spots. Call in for Lessons Schedule and Information, we are on for lessons, today, and we are getting busy, please call us if you want to schedule a lesson. +1 (808) 283-7913

Loss of Beach Access: A most pressing made-made issue is Loss of Beach Access, where less public ocean access is available. This is due to developers, and public planners failing to protect ocean access points. Developers, shady land swaps, county apathy, politics, and power. This is the biggest immediate threat the ocean users face here on Maui.  Ocean access in Hawaii is being lost all of the time, we all need to stay vigilant and get informed, and speak out against it. And when necessary buy back the beach! If you ignore your ability to access the beach, then it will go away!

For More Information go to Maui Kiteboarding Association Save Kanaha Page or Go directly to the Change.org Save Kanaha Petition

Please Share and Like this Blog:  You can be proactive, participate, and help us grow by; sharing, liking, tweeting, and commenting about us.  You can also use the social buttons at the bottom of this page. Likes are like Votes, because we are going to channel our time and energies into our most popular features. So Liking our stuff is a great way for you to let us know what features you would like to see continue. 

 

 
For the Older Weather Blogs Click Here

Maui Weather Blog 9-17-2017

Maui Weather Blog with David Dorn

Today’s Weather: Sunday, September 17, 2017

The Summary:   NWS says: Isolated showers. Mostly clear, with a low around 70. Northeast wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.    Computer Models say:  20-24 mph ENE, with surf 3 ft NNW. We Say;  The actual wind at Kanaha will likely be stronger than the forecast. We estimate that our wind will be in the mid 20’s gusting to low 30’s today. Our “Venturi Factor” Today for Kanaha is 6 out of 10. **Our (relative) Gustiness Factor today should be about 45% which is “very bumpy” level.  The wind should be more side-onshore today, a  little more filled into the beach. For our Weather Update Log into our 10:30 am Live Wind Report on our Facebook Page.

Maui Factor: Maui is not like other places. Maui is perhaps more extreme than most people are expecting. Always treat Nature and the elements here with respect. Be humble and do not underestimate the weather here. Mother Nature is the boss, so do not push your luck no matter how long you have waited to sail or surf here. There are going to be days when you should NOT go out. There will always be conditions too tough even for the biggest expert, never forget that. Maui factor usually also means that you will not be as good as you think you are, the first time you ride here. So start out conservatively and take the time to learn about local conditions. Pay your dues, be respectful, and be prepared to be humbled. With the right attitude and approach, you will better appreciate and ultimately enjoy the uniqueness that Maui has to offer. **Read More Local Information Below at the Bottom of this Page.

*Do Not be Intimidated By Maui’s Awesome Power: Fear is a function of self-preservation for good reason because it helps to survive. Listen to your inner voice it is trying to keep you alive. If you are not a little bit scared, then you are likely not experienced enough to be aware of the inherent risk. This can be a problem too. Also if you are over-scared you might not be able to resolve situations and scenarios that will eventually come your way. Ask yourself, am I confident that I can handle the worst-case scenario in these conditions? If the answer is No, then you will benefit from some safety/survival training. Instead of staying on the beach or getting in over your head we recommend that you get an Orientation Session, Safety refresher session,  or High Wind Sailing lesson, with one of our experienced Action Sports Instructors.

40 mph winds at Kanaha Beach. Photo Suzie Dorn
40 mph winds at Kanaha Beach. Photo Suzie Dorn

Wind Forecast – Model Tables:

Weather Map: Here is the weather map. Global weather patterns affect our local weather. Distant storms produce surf, and massive pressure systems create our winds. We can see these features on the Weather Map. Here is our summary of today’s weather map: There is a strengthening 1033 mb High-pressure system to our North, and the remnant cold front that was to our Northwest deflecting our usual airflow, is moving away to the west. So today our underlying trade winds will be less easterly than yesterday and more “normal”.  ** These predictions are for the generalized (Tradewind) airflow across the state, and local wind effects (rain/venturi/clouds/etc.) need to be considered.

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/graphics/npac.gif

NWS Current: Here are the Current Conditions and Forecast.

Humidity 77%
Water Temperature                      81.1 °F                                      
Barometer 30.02 in (1016.9 mb)
Dewpoint 68°F (20°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index 77°F (25°C)
Last update 17 Sep 4:54 am HST

Maui County Windward Waters:

Maui County Windward Waters-
333 AM HST Sun Sep 17 2017

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON…

.TODAY…East winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 7 feet. Southeast
swell 3 feet. Scattered showers.
.TONIGHT…East winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 8 feet. Southeast
swell 3 feet. Scattered showers.
.MONDAY…East winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 7 feet. Southeast
swell 3 feet. Scattered showers in the morning, then isolated
showers in the afternoon.

Maalaea Bay:

Maalaea Bay-
333 AM HST Sun Sep 17 2017

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON…

.TODAY…North winds to 30 knots. Wind waves 3 feet. Isolated
showers in the morning.
.TONIGHT…North winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 3 feet. Isolated
showers.
.MONDAY…North winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 3 feet in the
morning then 2 feet or less.

Please Note: The NWS sometimes gives their Forecast in Knots (kts) and we give ours in Miles Per Hour (mph).
To convert KTS to MPH, multiply the knots by 1.15 Example 30 kts x 1.15 = 34.5 mph.

For a quick reference go to KiteClub’s Wind Chart.

Tides on Maui: In general Tides only vary about 2 feet in range, While this is a small amount it makes a big difference because the water is shallow in many places and the reef can get close to the surface or exposed at low tides. At high tides beaches are narrow and will have more shorebreak. Pay attention to the tide times for a better safer session. For more detailed information about tides go to our Maui Tides Page. Here are today’s Tides below.

Tides at Kahului: 

High Tide 12:23 AM HST 1.61 ft
Moonrise 3:52 AM HST  
Sunrise 6:13 AM HST  
Low Tide 6:21 AM HST 0.10 ft
High Tide 1:14 PM HST 2.64 ft
Moonset 5:00 PM HST  
Sunset 6:26 PM HST  
Low Tide 7:39 PM HST 0.53 ft

Tides in Kihei:

High Tide 2:14 AM HST 1.47 ft
Moonrise 3:52 AM HST  
Sunrise 6:13 AM HST  
Low Tide 7:40 AM HST 0.03 ft
High Tide 3:06 PM HST 2.44 ft
Moonset 5:00 PM HST  
Sunset 6:26 PM HST  
Low Tide 8:58 PM HST 0.26 ft

*Interesting to Note: the time difference between Kanaha and Kihei High Tides today is, 1 hour, 52 minutes.

 

Rain Radar: The rain radar is the best way to see if there is bad weather coming especially heavy rains. Rain showers are not only wet, they can cause flooding on land, and rain squalls can cause strong wind gusts. Severe storms may create lightning as well. So it is always prudent to pay attention to the rain radar. Here is the Current Radar Image (click the image for the “looping” radar image):

https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/RadarImg/hawaii.gif

 Clouds over the State:

 

Infrared Satellite Image:

 

Wind Yesterday:  Here is yesterday’s wind graph. Winds gradually built up through the day, averaging mid to high 20’s. Winds were gusting high over 30’s.  After about 1pm the winds increased to an average 30 mph with gusts into the high 30’s. The highest gusts were hitting 40 mph 

Moon Phase:  Waning Crescent, Illumination: 9%. The Moon today is in a Waning Crescent phase. In this phase, the Moon’s illumination is growing smaller each day until the New Moon. During this phase, the Moon is getting closer to the Sun as viewed from Earth and the night side of the Moon is facing the Earth with only a small edge of the Moon being illuminated. More..

Changing of the Seasons: Maui has super consistent weather, but we still have seasons here. The Surfing Season is coming and you will notice things changing. Each season has a character a and a rhythm, so be prepared to adjust your approach and technique accordingly. To read more about the different weather by season and by month, Go to our Maui Weather Page..

Oceans are not like Lakes or Rivers: If you are new to ocean sailing then you should get a lesson on Ocean Sailing from one of our Action Sports Maui instructors. There are many common pitfalls and basic survival techniques that you will want to learn before getting yourself into trouble. Talk to Suzie about our “Ocean Rider 101 class”. Read more about ocean safety on our Ocean Safety Page..

Shorebreak Warning: Watch out for shore break. Especially when the tide is high and the swell is up. There tends to be more shore-break. Shore break is waves breaking into the shoreline, and they can be especially dangerous even when they are small. Take care when crossing through the shore break, and do not linger there. Get in and get out quickly, do not lose your footing, and definitely, do not drop your kite in the shore break. *Read More about Shore-breaks go to our Shore Break Warning Page

Strong Wind Warning: Maui has a lot more strong wind days than most other locations. Many people have not kited in strong winds before. Riding in strong winds requires an adapted technique and specialty equipment. If you came to Maui with only large kite sizes then there is a good chance that your kite will be too big some of the time. Do not go out overpowered, you are taking a risk with your own safety but you put other people at risk as well. So always ask one of our local instructors about you kite size choice if you are in any doubt. Your kite should never be significantly larger than the other kites on the water. Note that most of the local riders will make better-informed choices on right kite size for the local conditions. If necessary you will need to rent a smaller kite And/or get a lesson on riding a smaller kite in strong winds. If you have never ridden a small kite size before, then get a lesson from one of our Instructors. Ask Suzie about our High-Wind 101 Lesson. For an overview of the lessons we offer go to our Lesson Overview Slider Here.
Hurricane Season:  Hurricanes are most likely to occur July through December in Hawaii. Hurricanes bring severe bad weather, flooding rain and potentially devastatingly strong winds. The passing of a Hurricane may last days or up to a week or more. The Hurricanes usually develop far away in the eastern Pacific and we generally get several days or more warning of their approach. So there is usually time to make preparations and even evacuate if necessary. Many Hurricanes come close to Hawaii but are just too far away to have a severe effect, This near-miss scenario, and repeated canceled warnings, can give some people a false sense of security. Until one does hit, and then they may be unprepared. Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Climate Change Maui: There is a lot of confusion about climate change. There are anthropogenic (man-made) factors that affect climate, like greenhouse gasses, deforestation, and pollution. This is a worldwide problem but has to be managed locally as well. Reducing our carbon footprint using renewable resources like solar and wind energy, as well as recycling and reusing materials rather than throwing materials away after a single use. Also being mindful of not causing harm to the ecosystem by over using toxic agricultural chemicals. Also eating less meat (reduces greenhouse gasses and deforestation) and would be a major step in slowing Global Warming.  For More Information, including  How climate change affects Maui, Beach Loss, & Coral Reef Destruction and Degradation, Go to Our Climate Change Maui page

TODAY’S KITE SAFETY PRO-TIP:  “BEWARE OF OFFSHORE WIND” 

BEWARE OF WAVES: 
To avoid accidents, you should Always Beware of Waves. Even a small wave can be very powerful and can turn you upside down, This can lead to serious injury and drowning. Get a lesson before entering the waves, Waves are far different from flat water. Never drop your kite in the breaking waves, and if you do be prepared to let it go. Waves will easily destroy a kite and could hurt you, so invest in a “ride-in-the-waves 101” lesson from an experienced, qualified,  IKO Certified Kiteboarding Instructor. For More Kite Safety Tips Go To Kitesafe.com

Shorebreak Warning: Watch out for shore break. Especially when the tide is high and the swell is up. There tends to be more shore break. Shore break is waves breaking into the shoreline, and they can be especially dangerous even when they are small. Take care when crossing through the shore break, and do not linger there. Get in and get out quickly, do not lose your footing, and definitely do not drop your kite in the shore break. For More Infor on ShoreBreaks go to our Shore Break Warning Page.  

 

Maui Surf ReportMaui Surf Report: The Maui Surf Report has far too much information to fit here so it has its very own page. So if you need the latest surf info, like to learn, or are just curious then please check it out. For more detailed Surf Information go to our Maui Surf Report Page.  

 

Live Wind Report: Tune into our Daily Weather VLOG on our FaceBook Friend Page at 10:30 am each day. Thanks to our fans and people who regularly watch out VLOG, sometimes we are a little late, and the time of 10:30 may not be exact, so thanks for being patient. Also if you like the VLOG Report, then please let us know and give us a Like on Facebook (Likes are like Hugs!).  We have Moved our Wind Report VLOG to our other Facebook Page, please change your “bookmarks” accordingly, and please take a moment to Like and Follow us on Facebook.

Find Us on Kite Beach: We are at Kitebeach almost every day (10 am – 5 pm), so come look for our Van, and Drop By and Say hello. *Ask us for a copy of the New MKC Guidelines for Kiting on Maui Brochure that includes a map of Maui kite spots. Call in for Lessons Schedule and Information, we are on for lessons, today, and we are getting busy, please call us if you want to schedule a lesson. +1 (808) 283-7913

Loss of Beach Access: A most pressing made-made issue is Loss of Beach Access, where less public ocean access is available. This is due to developers, and public planners failing to protect ocean access points. Developers, shady land swaps, county apathy, politics, and power. This is the biggest immediate threat the ocean users face here on Maui.  Ocean access in Hawaii is being lost all of the time, we all need to stay vigilant and get informed, and speak out against it. And when necessary buy back the beach! If you ignore your ability to access the beach, then it will go away!

 

For More Information go to Maui Kiteboarding Association Save Kanaha Page or Go directly to the Change.org Save Kanaha Petition

Please Share and Like this Blog:  You can be proactive, participate, and help us grow by; sharing, liking, tweeting, and commenting about us.  You can also use the social buttons at the bottom of this page. Likes are like Votes, because we are going to channel our time and energies into our most popular features. So Liking our stuff is a great way for you to let us know what features you would like to see continue. 

 
For the Older Weather Blogs Click Here